Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003355 0.003745 0.004152 0.004607 0.005100 0.005619 0.006204
2024-10-06 0.002834 0.003397 0.004017 0.004746 0.005576 0.006489 0.007564
2024-10-13 0.002545 0.003212 0.003976 0.004907 0.006003 0.007245 0.008750
2024-10-20 0.002182 0.002889 0.003726 0.004779 0.006056 0.007541 0.009386
2024-10-27 0.001944 0.002685 0.003589 0.004758 0.006212 0.007940 0.010131
2024-11-03 0.001726 0.002482 0.003431 0.004691 0.006292 0.008235 0.010744
2024-11-10 0.001565 0.002336 0.003330 0.004680 0.006431 0.008594 0.011432
2024-11-17 0.001415 0.002189 0.003214 0.004637 0.006520 0.008884 0.012032
2024-11-24 0.001340 0.002139 0.003221 0.004750 0.006807 0.009427 0.012956
2024-12-01 0.001193 0.001975 0.003062 0.004630 0.006778 0.009556 0.013351
2024-12-08 0.001100 0.001882 0.002992 0.004625 0.006897 0.009875 0.013991
2024-12-15 0.001069 0.001877 0.003046 0.004791 0.007250 0.010507 0.015050
2024-12-22 0.001007 0.001822 0.003027 0.004856 0.007471 0.010975 0.015912
2024-12-29 0.000971 0.001806 0.003063 0.005000 0.007804 0.011600 0.016995
2025-01-05 0.000944 0.001802 0.003116 0.005168 0.008173 0.012280 0.018164
2025-01-12 0.000846 0.001672 0.002969 0.005035 0.008106 0.012356 0.018512
2025-01-19 0.000782 0.001597 0.002901 0.005013 0.008196 0.012650 0.019159
2025-01-26 0.000714 0.001506 0.002805 0.004943 0.008210 0.012833 0.019653
2025-02-02 0.000663 0.001444 0.002749 0.004931 0.008309 0.013136 0.020316
2025-02-09 0.000611 0.001373 0.002674 0.004887 0.008355 0.013362 0.020873
2025-02-16 0.000592 0.001363 0.002702 0.005005 0.008649 0.013949 0.021949
2025-02-23 0.000532 0.001271 0.002583 0.004880 0.008565 0.013983 0.022236
2025-03-02 0.000497 0.001223 0.002538 0.004874 0.008664 0.014286 0.022910